El-Sayed Leads Rogers as Trump Sinks Further in Michigan

A new Senate Majority PAC survey conducted by GBAO found Abdul El-Sayed leading Republican Mike Rogers 48 percent to 44 percent in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race.

El-Sayed’s lead grows among the voters most likely to turn out. He’s up 7 points (51 percent to 44 percent) with voters who will “definitely” vote and 10 points (54 percent to 44 percent) with voters who rate their motivation a 10 out of 10.

Voters see El-Sayed as the candidate who will fight for them, choosing him over Rogers on who “will fight to lower costs” (48 percent to 38 percent) and “will take on corruption” (46 percent to 39 percent). Despite Republican attacks, 51 percent are more concerned that “Mike Rogers won’t stand up to Trump” than that “Abdul El-Sayed is too risky for the economy” (38 percent).

As it has across the entire country, Trump’s standing in the state has slipped further since August. Thirty-seven percent of voters approve of his job performance, while 61 percent disapprove, including 53 percent who strongly disapprove.

“Mike Rogers is Donald Trump’s guy, and Michigan voters are fed up with Donald Trump,” said Lauren French, Senate Majority PAC spokesperson. “Michiganders want a senator who will fight to lower their costs and take on corruption, and they know Rogers will capitulate the second Trump tells him to. Abdul El-Sayed is fighting for working families, and that’s exactly why he’s winning.”

GBAO surveyed 800 Michigan likely voters September 19-22, 2026, via live-caller and text-to-online interviews. The results are subject to a margin of error of +/- 3.5.

Read the full polling memo.